the deep read · step 2

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overall 6.4/10 · Convict Lake · Thu Oct 1, 6:00 PM

🖨 print / pocket card — the locked numbers, windows, and presentations in one page.

Session timeline — light, pressure, events10101008sunsetlast lightprime 18:00 · Inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster) + Worm …6 PM7 PM8 PMsun altitude · barometer

THURSDAY OCT 1 — 6:00 PM SESSION

Convict Lake, Mono County, CA | Last quarter (67%) | Moon in Gemini

One-paragraph version

Launch at 6:00 PM into a Mercury hour; the window that matters is 6:00 PM–6:20 PM (golden hour), parked on the inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster). Overall 6.4/10 — solid conditions with one clear prime window; be there for it.

The locked numbers

Launch 6:00 PM / sunset 6:37 PM / dark ~7:04 PM
Moon Last quarter, 67% lit, sets 12:41 PM, rises 9:57 PM
Air 71°F at launch / window 63–71°F
Water ~57°F (air-temp lag — small-lake estimate, no gauge within 30 km; cooling -1.1°F/wk)
Species presence on our lake list · not yet confirmed by a logged catch
Stocking Trout planted Sep 13 — fresh stockers = shallow forage event
Sky/wind 0% cloud, 6 mph wind, slowly falling barometer (1008 hPa)
Forecast low agreement — GFS/ECMWF/ICON ±1.0°F, ±7.4 mph
Color Natural, translucent colors read true only in the top few feet — that's where color-matching forage pays off.
Solunar → Moon underfoot (major) ~5:20 PM; Moon overhead (major) ~4:59 AM; Moon overhead (major) ~5:52 AM
Scores weather 7/10 · solunar 9/10 · astro 2/10 → overall 6.4/10
Data sky + weather · GFS/ECMWF/ICON ±1.0°F, ±7.4 mph (low agreement) · no lake-state inference · water temp estimated (no gauge nearby) · stocking data · logbook (none) · depth map: lake notes only

Weather layer

  • clear sky — fish tight to shade/structure
  • 8 mph chop breaks up overhead predators (plus)
  • barometer slowly falling (-1.2 hPa/6h)

Almanac layer (the old-timers' calendar)

  • Moon in Gemini — scattered fish — cover water, expect schools not singles (almanac tradition, honored as lore)
  • Near-quarter moon (transition) — the almanac rates this a strong-feeding stretch
  • void-of-course until Moon enters the next sign at 12:54 — quiet hours, almanacs say fish pick at baits
  • Planetary hour at launch: Mercury — skillful hands — knots, skips and hooksets are dialed (published in almanacs for centuries)

The session, hour-by-hour

Time Window Sky Do this
6:00 PM–6:20 PM Mercury · major ON · Moon underfoot (major) ends golden hour Inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster) — cast & wind near stocking zones/inlets (silver/blue)
Worm / nightcrawler (drifted) — thread the worm on a small bait hook and drift or still-fish it — suspended under a bobber 1.5–3 ft up, or off the bottom when the fish are deep
6:20 PM–6:37 PM Mercury · Moon underfoot (major) ends · sunset + Moon hour sunset keep casting — transition block
6:37 PM–7:04 PM Moon · sunset + Moon hour · end of light (civil dusk) dusk Powerbait / floating bait off bottom — 30in leader off a sliding sinker, wait
Inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster) — cast & wind near stocking zones/inlets (silver/blue)
7:04 PM–7:38 PM Moon · end of light (civil dusk) · Saturn hour dark keep casting — transition block
7:38 PM–8:30 PM Saturn dark keep casting — transition block

Best presentations for these conditions

  • Inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster) — stocked-fish standard
    • build: inline spinner / spoon 1/16 oz–1/64 oz · monofilament 4–6 lb (Iowa DNR — Trout (lure size) + ODFW — How to fish for trout (starter sizes))
  • Powerbait / floating bait off bottom — patience bait
    • build: Bait hook (small) 8–12 · sliding sinker / split shot #5 · monofilament 4–6 lb (ODFW — How to fish for trout (prepared bait rig + sizes) + Iowa DNR — Trout (prepared bait form))
  • Worm / nightcrawler (drifted) — the year-round natural-bait default
    • build: Bait hook (small) 6–14 · Split shot #5 · monofilament 4–6 lb (ODFW — How to fish for trout (rig + sizes) + Iowa DNR — Trout (hook range, threading))

Line & knots for these rigs

  • Monofilament (nylon) — buoyant and stretches under load, which damps the surge on a hooked fish Knots quoted from the cited guides — facts, not folklore.
  • Uni knot (line-to-terminal, line-to-line, reel-spool) — The uni knot is a multi-purpose fishing knot used in angling that can be used for attaching the fishing line to the spool of a reel, for joining main line to leader/backing lines, and for attaching lures, swivels and snaps. (Wikipedia — Uni knot)
  • Palomar knot (line-to-terminal) — The Palomar knot is a knot that is used for securing a fishing line to a fishing lure, hook, or swivel. It is strong and easy to tie and with practice can even be tied in the dark. (Wikipedia — Palomar knot) Practice: always wet knots before tightening, regardless of line material; fluoro under 10 lb: 10 wraps when tying the snell or uni.

Decision rules

  • Wind from SE at 6 mph → the W shore is wind-stacked (fetch ~528 m); fish it first — the SE shore is the lee.
  • Slow start ≠ bad session → barren-sign evenings backload — the payoff window is late. (shoreline wind model — © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL)

fishwitch mvp — weather via Open-Meteo · sky via Swiss Ephemeris · solunar + almanac tradition (fruitful/barren signs are old lore, honored but labeled).

Tackle for this session — sources & offers

These links never affect the ranking — they're added after the picks are set.

  • cited Inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster)
    build: inline spinner / spoon 1/16 oz–1/64 oz · monofilament 4–6 lb
    Iowa DNR technique guide · source
  • cited Powerbait / floating bait off bottom
    build: Bait hook (small) 8–12 · sliding sinker / split shot #5 · monofilament 4–6 lb
    Iowa DNR technique guide · source
  • cited Worm / nightcrawler (drifted)
    build: Bait hook (small) 6–14 · Split shot #5 · monofilament 4–6 lb
    ODFW + Iowa DNR trout guides · source

🛒 Shopping list — everything the top rigs need

One row per part, consolidated across the recommended rigs. Links attach after ranking, and ranking never sees them.

  • inline spinner / spoon 1/16 oz–1/64 oz for Inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster)
    Iowa DNR: small spinners, plugs or jigs 1/16–1/64 oz; ODFW starter kit lists 1/16 oz spinners
  • monofilament 4–6 lb for Inline spinner / spoon (kastmaster)
    ODFW ultralight starter line
  • Bait hook (small) 8–12 for Powerbait / floating bait off bottom · Worm / nightcrawler (drifted)
    ODFW starter kit: size 8 bait hooks; Iowa DNR: No. 6–14 and match bait size
    · Amazon (affiliate link — baromoon may earn a commission)
    also: Circle hook Amazon
  • sliding sinker / split shot #5 for Powerbait / floating bait off bottom
    ODFW: a small lead weight above the hook — bobber 1½–3 ft up, or off the bottom with the weight ~1½ ft above the hook; classic sliding-sinker variant uses an egg sinker
  • monofilament 4–6 lb for Powerbait / floating bait off bottom
    ODFW ultralight starter line
  • Split shot #5 for Worm / nightcrawler (drifted)
    ODFW: a small lead weight just above the hook, bobber 1½–3 ft above the hook
  • monofilament 4–6 lb for Worm / nightcrawler (drifted)
    ODFW ultralight starter line; Iowa DNR caps trout mono at 6 lb

Keep going

The plan is set — now widen it, take it with you, or close the loop after.

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