🖨 print / pocket card — the locked numbers, windows, and presentations in one page.

THURSDAY OCT 1 — 3:00 PM SESSION

Lake Chabot, Castro Valley, Alameda County, CA | Last quarter (69%) | Moon in Gemini

One-paragraph version

Launch at 3:00 PM into a Mars hour; the window that matters is 4:34 PM–4:53 PM (afternoon sun), parked on the hollow-body frog. Overall 7.3/10 — solid conditions with one clear prime window; be there for it.

The locked numbers

Weather layer

• overcast = fish roam shallow & chase (big plus)
• 9 mph chop breaks up overhead predators (plus)
• barometer slowly falling (-0.8 hPa/6h)

Almanac layer (the old-timers' calendar)

• Moon in Gemini — scattered fish — cover water, expect schools not singles (almanac tradition, honored as lore)
• Near-quarter moon (transition) — the almanac rates this a strong-feeding stretch
• void-of-course until Moon enters the next sign at 12:54 — quiet hours, almanacs say fish pick at baits
• Planetary hour at launch: Mars — aggression — burn reaction baits, set the hook hard (published in almanacs for centuries)

The session, hour-by-hour

Best presentations for these conditions

• Hollow-body frog — vegetation only — worth it on this lake's grass mats
• Chatterbait (bladed jig) — the wind-lane weapon
• Squarebill crankbait — bank-beater for wind-stacked points
• Mid-depth crankbait — fills the mid-day gap

Trend watch — what's winning (market signal, not science)

Dated tournament/creator signals for rigs that already fit these conditions — shown after ranking and never scored into it. - Mid-depth crankbait — fits these conditions (scores 8.0) · YouTube — Brian Latimer (2026-09-19) - “RED CRANKBAITS - THE REAL REASON IT WORKS” - Drop shot — fits these conditions (scores 7.5) · MLF — Gill does it again, wins Tackle Warehouse Pro Circuit Championship on (Sun, 20 Sep 2026) - “Gill's primary bait on the first two days was the venerable 7-inch Big Bite Baits Nekorama in matte margarita on a drop-shot.” - Urchin/dice rig (treble + screw weights) — fits these conditions (scores 7.5) · MLF — Gill does it again, wins Tackle Warehouse Pro Circuit Championship on (Sun, 20 Sep 2026) - “I went out with 38 rods on my deck, because I didn't have a blockbuster deal on that area, and I'll be danged, every fish in that area wanted to bite the urchin. It was lights-out ” - Carolina rig — fits these conditions (scores 7.2) · YouTube — Tom Redington (2026-09-18) - “Carolina Rig Masterclass From the Guy Who Perfected It”

Line & knots for these rigs

• Copolymer — a nylon-based blend — between mono and fluoro Knots quoted from the cited guides — facts, not folklore.
• San Diego jam knot (line-to-terminal) — The San Diego jam knot is a common fishing knot used to tie a line to the hook, swivel, clip, or artificial fly. This knot is also known as the San Diego knot, reverse clinch knot or Heiliger knot. (Wikipedia — San Diego Jam knot)
• Palomar knot (line-to-terminal) — The Palomar knot is a knot that is used for securing a fishing line to a fishing lure, hook, or swivel. It is strong and easy to tie and with practice can even be tied in the dark. (Wikipedia — Palomar knot)
• Uni knot (line-to-terminal, line-to-line, reel-spool) — The uni knot is a multi-purpose fishing knot used in angling that can be used for attaching the fishing line to the spool of a reel, for joining main line to leader/backing lines, and for attaching lures, swivels and snaps. (Wikipedia — Uni knot) Practice: always wet knots before tightening, regardless of line material; fluoro under 10 lb: 10 wraps when tying the snell or uni.

Decision rules

• Wind from NW at 8 mph → the S shore is wind-stacked (fetch ~677 m); fish it first — the N shore is the lee.
• Wind dies → skip the wind-lane baits, go straight to the low-light topwater.
• Overcast holds → extend the reaction phase; this cloud is a gift.
• Slow start ≠ bad session → barren-sign evenings backload — the payoff window is late. (shoreline wind model — © OpenStreetMap contributors, ODbL)

fishwitch mvp — weather via Open-Meteo · sky via Swiss Ephemeris · solunar + almanac tradition (fruitful/barren signs are old lore, honored but labeled).